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Issue JAN 2010

 

ATV NEWSLETTER

© Newsletter of the Victorian Automotive Industry Training Board

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How well placed is the Australian Automotive Industry in the Asia Pacific Region

ASIA PACIFIC REGION

Source: Segment Y Automotive Intelligence Automotive Digest

Table 1:          Vehicle Sales 2008-2012

Year

Global

(million)

Asia Pacific

(million)

Asia Pacific Share

See Note

2008

69

30

44%

2009

70

32

45%

2010

72

33

46%

2011

76

35

46%

2012

80

37

46%

Note:   Asia Pacific Region market share projected at incremental increase to 46%

Table 2a:               Asia Pacific Region Trends

Australia 2008

Japan 2008

China 2008

South Korea 2008

Population

22 million

Population

128 million

Population

1.3 billion

Population

48 million

Growth Rate

2.5%

Growth Rate

0.7%

Growth Rate

9.8%

Growth Rate

4.3%

Total Auto Sales

1,012,194

Total Auto Sales

5,082,325

Total Auto Sales

9,421,704

Total Auto Sales

1,153,807

Total Auto Production

324,118

Total Auto Production

11,563,669

Total Auto Production

9,373,364

Total Auto Production

3,823,380

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 3.6%

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 5.1%

Market Growth 2007/08

(+) 6.7%

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 5.4%

 

Table 2b:               Asia Pacific Region Trends

India 2008

Thailand 2008

Indonesia 2008

Malaysia 2008

Population

1.2 billion

Population

63 million

Population

230 million

Population

28 million

Growth Rate

7.3%

Growth Rate

4.8%

Growth Rate

5.9%

Growth Rate

5.5%

Total Auto Sales

1,979,624

Total Auto Sales

615,476

Total Auto Sales

607,799

Total Auto Sales

548,136

Total Auto Production

2,315,657

Total Auto Production

1,391,868

Total Auto Production

536,493

Total Auto Production

530,837

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 0.5%

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 2.5%

Market Growth 2007/08

(+) 39.9%

Market Growth 2007/08

(+) 12.5%

 

Table 2c:               Asia Pacific Region Trends

Taiwan 2008

Pakistan 2008

Vietnam 2008

Philippines 2008

Population

23 million

Population

166 million

Population

87 million

Population

91 million

Growth Rate

1.7%

Growth Rate

4.7%

Growth Rate

6.3%

Growth Rate

4.5%

Total Auto Sales

178,809

Total Auto Sales

157,175

Total Auto Sales

110,675

Total Auto Sales

124,450

Total Auto Production

183,431

Total Auto Production

155,970

Total Auto Production

110,560

Total Auto Production

63,663

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 35.3%

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 23.7%

Market Growth 2007/08

(+) 36.5 %

Market Growth 2007/08

(+) 5.5%

 

Table 2d:               Asia Pacific Region Trends

Hong Kong 2008

Singapore 2008

Population

7 million

Population

4.9 million

Growth Rate

2.8%

Growth Rate

3.0%

Total Auto Sales

37,396

Total Auto Sales

80,947

Total Auto Production

Not applicable

Total Auto Production

Not applicable

Market Growth 2007/08

(+) 6.3%

Market Growth 2007/08

(-) 13.4%

 

Impact of Asia Pacific Region on Australia

 

Table 3: Impact Of Asia Pacific Region On Australia

ASIA PACIFIC TRENDS

LIKELY IMPACT AUSTRALIA

Total vehicle production (2008) 30.4 million (44% of global sales):

Ÿ           Japan 38%

Ÿ           China 31%

Ÿ           South Korea 12.5%

Ÿ           India 7.7%

Ÿ           Thailand 4.6%

Ÿ           Indonesia, Malaysia 1.8%

Ÿ           Australia 1.1%

Ÿ           Increased competition will likely negatively impact on Australian vehicle manufacturer and component supplier export markets

 

Ÿ           Vehicle Imports account for 78% of passenger motor vehicle sales and rising by 2% per annum

Average growth rate (2008) 4.2%:

Ÿ           China 9.8%

Ÿ           India 7.3%

Ÿ           Vietnam 6.3%

Ÿ           Australia 2.5%

Ÿ           Increased demand for Australian resources in line with Government economic forecasts.

 

How will emerging vehicle technology impact on training?

Vehicle Technologies

Source:                 

·          Victorian Automobile Chamber of Commerce (VACC) – Horizons 2015

·          Automotive Australia 2020 Vision

·          Robert Bosch – Submission to Review Australia Auto Industry 2008

·          GM Holden – Submission to Review Australia Auto Industry 2008

·          Toyota – Submission to Review Australia Auto Industry 2008

·          Ford – Submission to Review Australia Auto Industry 2008

“By 2015, the average Australian vehicle will be significantly changed with an emphasis on safety, performance and fuel efficiency.  Market forces, consumer preferences and government policy are set to drive innovation across all areas of the vehicle from the power train through to electronics and driver-assist systems – VACC Horizons 2015”.

 “The Green Car Innovation Fund should assist the Australian automotive industry with developing and commercialising technologies aimed at improving vehicle fuel efficiency and emissions – Australian Government - A New Car Plan for a Greener Future”.

Vehicle Technologies 2010/2020

Vehicle System

Training Consequences

Chassis System:

Ÿ       Use of new materials (light weight steels, high strength aluminium, magnesium, composites, paints (nano technology):

ü       reduced weight in body chassis and components

ü       Improved vehicle finishing

ü       Reduced aerodynamic drag – body design

ü       Increased driver/passenger comfort – noise insulation, seat design, climate control, safety

 

 

 

 

Traditional trades training for apprentices will be replaced by demand for underpinning knowledge and skills in electronic systems and materials technology.

 

Increased demand for skills training through public providers (TAFE) and industry training providers.

 

Increasing reliance on partnership between manufacturers and component suppliers with TAFE institutes:

Ÿ        Teacher industrial experience

Ÿ        Teacher professional development

Ÿ        TAFE access to new technology

 

 

 

Power Train:

Ÿ       Reduced weight (use of aluminium, magnesium, ceramics)

Ÿ       Engine design and configuration (downsizing, boosting)

Ÿ       Transmission design (continuous variable transmission, duel clutch transmission)

Ÿ       Alternative fuels (clean diesel, gas (LPG, CNG, LNG), ethanol

Ÿ       Direct fuel injection

Ÿ       Electric drive, battery technology (lithium)

Ÿ       Hybrid (electric, petrol/gas)

Ÿ       Electronic controls – drive-by-wire (management systems)

Ÿ       Emissions control

Running Gear:

Ÿ       New materials (ceramics, plastics)

Ÿ       Tyre technology

Ÿ       Electronic controls – drive-by-wire (steering, brakes, suspension, stability)

Control Systems:

Ÿ       Integrated intelligent transport systems (remote diagnostics)

Ÿ       Safety management (collision avoidance)

Ÿ       Communications (telematics, voice recognition)

Ÿ       Security

Ÿ       Adaptive lighting

 

What is Skills for Growth and how can it assist my business?

Skills for Growth is a Victorian Government initiative to assist businesses access to skills training from entry level trades to manager training.

The Victorian Automobile Chamber of Commerce (VACC) is an approved Service Provider for the automotive industry.

The Service will assist you to:

·    Identify your business objectives and priorities

·    Assess the skill needs of your business and your staff

·    Prepare a workforce training plan

·    Facilitate staff placement into training

What are the benefits to your business:

·    No charge for the service

·    Clearer business objectives and priorities

·    Potential for increased productivity and business growth through skills training

For more information contact:

Lisa Farchione

VACC Program Manager

Phone: 03 9829 1135

Mob: 0428 501 826

Email: lfarchione@vacc.com.au

 

How can I access management training to suite my business needs?

Automotive Training Victoria and the Victorian Automobile Chamber of Commerce (VACC) have established, in partnership with the Victorian Government, a program to assist automotive businesses access skills training for supervisors, managers and team leaders or those aspiring to any of these roles.

The Certificate IV in Frontline Management (Automotive) is a nationally recognised qualification customised by the VACC to meet the needs of automotive businesses:

·    It is delivered purely on-the-job and there are no lectures to attend

·    You work with a workplace mentor

·    It is competency based – you work at your own pace

 

For more information contact:

 

Jodee Price

Education & Training Advisor

Phone: 03 9829 1129

Mob: 0429 703 794

Email: jprice@vacc.com.au

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 Address all correspondence to:

Greg Walsh

Executive Manager

Automotive Training Victoria
P. O Box 7428

St Kilda Road, Vic 8004

Email: manager@atv.org.au

Fax:     (03) 9866 1295

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